Al Franken, a mere 200 votes behind the official tally in the U.S. Senate race against incumbent Republican Norm Coleman, will likely be declared victor after the completion of a hand recount within the next couple of weeks. Nate Silver, a baseball statistician-turned-political pollster has done some analysis of the ballots most likely to be skipped by the machine count. Usually machines disqualify what are known as “under-votes,” in which the voter may make a clear mark to indicate support for the candidate but in a somewhat incorrect manner, such as circling the name instead of filling the line next to the name etc. Traditionally, undervotes come from low-income neighborhoods or precincts with large elderly populations.