Opinion

Climate crisis prone to misinformation

Last November, in an incident dubbed “Climategate,” thousands of e-mails and data files were stolen from Britain’s Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia and posted on the Internet.

The purloined files, now widely available on the web, reveal systematic fraud and conspiracy among influential scientists both in England and the U.S. Exposed was a concerted effort to “hide” and distort data that didn’t fit their theories, to prevent peer-reviewed publications, newspapers and websites from publishing dissenting views and to thwart Freedom of Information laws — even to the point of destroying vital climate data in order to prevent other scientists from attempting to verify their results.

Those involved include highly influential lead authors of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports and IPCC-chosen guardians of vital historical climate data. Such willful and systematic deception among top IPCC authors is truly scandalous given the unilateral power this organization has in influencing climate science and policy decisions.

However, this was not some secret plot conducted behind closed doors by a few corrupt scientists. Their dogmatic adherence to global warming theories and attempts to shutout anything and anyone that might threaten their beliefs has been the sine qua non of global warming and environmentalism in general.

Not long ago, you’ll remember, the sky was falling (again). Al Gore was trumpeting dire predictions of killer cyclones and twenty-foot oceans engulfing entire states. Magazines featured covers decorated with drowning polar bears, melting ice caps and the Earth enveloped in flames. Front-page articles appeared almost daily with another IPCC finding and the latest “extreme weather event” — purportedly direct evidence of looming disaster.

Yet increasing numbers of scientists were debunking these outrageous claims. Al Gore’s alleged “Inconvenient Truth” was shown to be a pack of wild exaggerations. Michael E. Mann’s infamous “hockey-stick” plot, used by the IPCC to promote the idea of runaway warming, was shown to be a product of faulty statistical methods.

Some scientists reported being removed from peer-review committees and denied publication for failing to tow the global warming line. Others showed cases where the IPCC misrepresented scientific findings and warned that consensus and intolerance of debate was replacing sound science.

But who would listen? “The science is settled” was the common mantra, as was “The debate is over.” Anyone who dared challenge the prevailing dogma was a “denier” and “flat-earther.”

Today even more scientists are speaking out. They argue climate models consistently fail to predict actual climate measurements at observed data contradicts the basic assumptions of CO2-driven global warming on which climate models are based. Falling global temperatures, too, are no longer cooperating with global warming predictions.

What has been the reaction? Are those pushing for cap-and-trade legislation abandoning their quest to choke-off all things carbon? Has “going green” and reducing one’s “carbon footprint” fallen out of fashion? Did the Copenhagen Conference on Climate Change attendees discuss whether CO2 is truly the bane of mankind? Hardly.

In stark contrast to years of promoting an alleged scientific basis for anthropogenic warming and an urgent need to squelch all things carbon (i.e., living), the response to all counter evidence has been to quietly change the subject.

The supposedly scientific and incontrovertible evidence for global warming has morphed into the scientifically uncontroversial prediction of “climate change.”

Fighting “climate change” ensures an unassailable adversary — climate is always changing — and allows environmentalists to sidestep whether any of the science for global warming is actually true. But the damage is done.

The need to reduce civilization’s “carbon footprint” is unquestionably accepted today along with wealth destroying policies like cap-and-trade, banning incandescent bulbs, and endless subsidies for unproductive “renewable” energies. What was once regarded as an essential component of life (CO2) is now considered a pollutant.

But we’ve seen this pattern before.

It was junk-science that lead to the banning of DDT, resulting in millions of preventable malaria deaths. Neither this, nor the fact that DDT has never been shown to be harmful to humans, has dissuaded environmentalists from condemning its use and revering those instrumental in getting it banned (such as Rachael Carson and Gaylord Nelson.)

Environmentalist Paul Ehrlich’s repeated “scientific” predictions of population bombs and mass starvation are demonstrably false, yet he is praised and invited to speak at universities across the country.

Nuclear power is unsafe, claim environmentalists. But when science proves its safety by any conceivable standard, environmentalists opposite it on principle.

It is time to connect the dots. As these and countless other examples show, hijacking science in service of environmental ideology is nothing new. Global warming come “climate change” is just the latest (and most destructive) attempt to get people to swallow environmentalism’s anti-progress ideology.

Fabricated doomsday predictions aside, we need to see clearly what reducing one’s “carbon footprint” actually means for a species whose very existence depends on having a healthy one.

Jim Allard ([email protected]) is a graduate student in biological sciences.

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46 older comments

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Thank for you the sound and rational column, Jim. Now let’s wait for the knuckle-dragging global warming alarmists to wake up and spill their organic “fair-trade” coffee while reading this on their iPhones.

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Hey Jim, did you read those emails? They weren’t nearly as much of a smoking gun as they have been made out to be. Also congrats on being like 2 months behind the ball on this one.

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Wow…what a truly horrific article. You’ve managed to bring up pretty much all of the talking points that have accumulated over the last 5-10 years from the far-right, tone-deaf, climate denial community. Even bringing up DDT…wow, impressive. You and your tin-foil hat are right, Jim…everyone studying climate change - including professors at this very university where you are getting your biological sciences graduate degree - is part of a massive conspiracy for wealth and power. Congratulations on this original expos�.

Let me just respond to the main slab of meat in your article: ClimateGate (as time does not permit me to address all of the errors). Yes, there was some unethical behavior by some climate scientists who were terribly pissed off by the unrelenting climate denial community. They absolutely should be admonished for some of their activities. But linking this scandal with the entire climate science community and claiming the whole thing (decades and decades of excellent research) is a farce is the epitome of being disingenuous (or just ignorant). The AP performed a thorough analysis of the leaked e-mails and conclusively showed that “the exchanges don’t undercut the vast body of evidence showing the world is warming because of man-made greenhouse gas emissions”. http://tinyurl.com/ydkya7a

For those who think the AP is just part of the librul media machine, try reading the very extensive analysis of each of the e-mails by Yale University. http://www.yaleclimatemediaforum.org/2009/12/cru-emails-whats-really-there/

Jim, you are a very deceptive or very misguided columnist. I suggest airing your criticisms of climate change science with actual climate scientists at this university before you start writing your next vitriolic piece. You are doing this newspaper and this university an incredible disservice.

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Yes, go to the Yale link and decide for yourself. The whole thing is a poor attempt at rationalizing away what is in plain view.

E.g., “Hide the decline” doesn’t really mean “hide the decline.” Right.

When these “scientists” attempt to exclude papers, not due to a lack of scientific merit, but because they disagree with the paper’s results, these apologists claim there’s a “fine line” in the peer-review process. Amazing!

Then, in an act of desperation they try to downplay these dishonest attempts at censorship by saying that some of the papers got published anyway - as if this matters.

In it goes on…

Readers can also go to:

http://www.assassinationscience.com/climategate/

Notice that fraud runs through these emails. E.g., Mann knowing misrepresents the number of papers Jones has published and lines up his buddies to get Jones awarded the Ewing medal. Then, Mann asks Jones to return the favor and Jones agrees.

These guys are not a “few scientists.” They are top figures, having great influence over whole global warming movement.

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and the motive?

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Environmentalism

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bingo. you are good

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The motive is grant money, lots and lots of grant money. It would just be another tranfer of funds from the tax payers to the tax eaters but in this case the tax payers also see jobs lost and the economy destroyed.

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so not just the public but the people handing out grants have been fooled. all the while these professors are living like kings and queens with their precious, precious money. my god. you’ve done it! you’ve broken through the smokescreen of bullshit. if only the world were filled with more of you and less professors and people funding research everything would finally make sense.

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Well maybe not kings and queens, but they did have to import many extra limousines to Copenhagen.

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sweet jesus

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Jebus has nothing to do with the egos and greed of the Warmists

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he London Times continues to follow the glaciergate story � and it keeps getting worse. The latest disclosure: Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the UN�s (formerly) prestigious Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (known as the IPCC), may have raised millions of dollars for his New Delhi institute on the basis of the totally bogus �glaciergate� claim by the IPCC that the Himalayan glaciers would melt by 2035.�

http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2010/01/23/ipcc-head-in-glaciergate-crime/

That MILLIONS of dollars, sweet jebus guy! But maybe he was living the “simple low-carbon life”? Wanna bet?

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and i bet that institute is plotting even more horrible scams. if only you had been there to dissuade those that gave him the money. why god?

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The tax on stupidity will never be repealed.

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whoa, so deep. pout about taxes to someone who gives a shit.

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What a maroon! Too stupid to even know you’re paying taxes every time you buy anything.

I LOVE it when stupid people pay the tax on stupidity.

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it’s spelled “moron”

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Not when Bugs Bunny says it - and I thought that would be the appropriate level for your ilk.

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good one

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they should call that sales tax, not a tax on stupidity. maybe they’ll change it someday.

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sales tax = global warming is false. got it. see i’m not so stupid

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“Dr Pacharui has also been accused of using the error to win grants worth hundreds of thousands of pounds.”

Climate chief was told of false glacier claims before Copenhagen http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/article7009081.ece

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UN climate chief Rajendra Pachauri ‘got grants through bogus claims’

The chairman of the UN�s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), has used bogus claims that Himalayan glaciers were melting to win grants worth hundreds of thousands of pounds.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/article6999975.ece

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Popular Mechanics also had a great article on what the stolen e-mails really mean for climate change science. Main take-home point: climate change science is not a teetering house of cards.

http://www.popularmechanics.com/science/earth/4338343.html

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Recent revelations from the Climategate emails, originating from the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, showed how all the data centers � most notably NOAA and NASA � conspired in the manipulation of global temperature records to suggest that temperatures in the 20th century rose faster than they actually did.

http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/climategate-noaa-and-nasa-complicit-in-data-manipulation/

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Do you know the actual reason that DDT was banned? It wasn’t because it was harmful to humans, it was because it contaminated sources of food for birds. The DDT would then get inside of the birds and cause their eggs to have thinner than normal shells, causing them to hatch sooner than normal and have lower survival rates. I’m not going to cover the other errors, since other people have already done that. And to the writer - what background do you have in atmospheric or environmental science? Did you talk to any scientists from this field? I know we have plenty of them right here at UW, and they are always willing to talk about their findings. For the record, I do feel that the global warming claims are somewhat exaggerated, but that doesn’t mean that it isn’t occurring. The Earth is warming at a faster rate than it has during any recent period, and greenhouse gases, like CO2, are partly to blame. And for the record, I do have somewhat of a background on the subject as an AOS student who has taken classes on global climate and other similar topics.

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From the EPA’s 1972 decision to ban DDT.

A. Basic findings: … 9. DDT is a potential human carcinogen.

B. Ultimate finding: 1. DDT presents a carcinogenic risk.

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Jim,

Is this article a joke? It’s hard to take you seriously when your writing is plagued with spelling, grammatical, and punctuation errors. Please proofread. I honestly read this article and thought it would be a better fit for The Onion. After rereading it, my emotions went from disbelief to fumingly mad to thinking my blood might actually be boiling. You’re discrediting the University of Wisconsin’s Biology Department as well as The Badger Herald, and I’m a bit ashamed to admit I am among your classmates. Go ahead and keep your ignorant opinion, but please check your facts before you try to spread them to others.

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No, Mr. Allard’s piece is not a joke. Any and all spelling or grammar errors are a product of poor oversight on my part, as well as some real goofy transferring of a Word document with “track changes” enabled. I think I’ve fixed most of them, but then again, I let it go in the first place, so who knows?

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    This article is full of misinformation. It's one thing to renounce environmentalism based on exaggeration and ignorance, but this article makes its points by ignoring all kinds of facts.
Questioning climate models and scientific predictions is one thing, but the article goes on to make unsubstantiated claims like �Falling global temperatures�are no longer cooperating with global warming predictions.� I�d be interested in learning more about where this came from; average global temperatures obviously fluctuate from year to year, and the upward trend is only observable on a larger scale � annual fluctuations are equivalent to noise present in any kind of scientific data. Furthermore, the greenhouse effect has been accepted by physicists since the mid 19th century. It�s not up for debate. Also obvious is the fact that humans have released greenhouse gases. It follows that human activity is affecting the earth�s climate to some extent. Scientists should be debating this extent, and politicians should be debating how to act. To suggest that greenhouse gases we emit will somehow have no effect on the atmosphere is simply wrong. And as for �Climategate,� this kind of behavior on the part of scientists is nothing new. Read Arthur Koestler�s The Case of the Midwife Toad for a much crueler example of a paradigm defense. Attacking a few messengers should not invalidate their message, especially when it is grounded in the work of so many other researchers, dating back to the pre-Civil War era. 
Allard�s love of fossil fuel emissions also ignores the presence of other dangerous compounds, such as nitrites/nitrates and sulfites/sulfates, which cause other environmental problems. It�s ignorant to suggest that opposition to fossil fuel emissions has only arisen in recent years, in response to hype created by Al Gore.
I also question the article�s characterization of environmental policy as �wealth destroying;� developing green energy will create many non-exportable jobs within the U.S. and reduce our dependence on foreign oil, which will both benefit national security and keep American money within the U.S. Much research at prominent institutions like the UW is centered upon developing safer, cleaner, and more efficient technologies. Should we stop this research and continue to depend on an outdated resource that will eventually become too expensive to extract?
Finally, the article suggests that DDT was banned because of �junk science� because it hasn�t been shown to harm humans. This is absurd; DDT was banned because it endangered already-scarce predatory birds by weakening their eggshells and causing stillbirths. DDT is still used in a restricted manner to control disease; part of its danger came from the manner in which it was indiscriminately sprayed.
While it�s admirable to combat �doomsday predictions� and support dissenting opinions in the name of science, it�s also important to acknowledge obvious facts. Ignoring what�s already been laid out by a mixture of simple science and common sense to fit an agenda is irresponsible. �Climategate� showed, above all, that scientists are human and therefore subject to prejudices. What it did not do is invalidate over a century of research and make fossil fuels a viable permanent energy source.
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Yeah, burning carbon to generate energy is a bad idea. The univers in general seems to run on nuclear power and so should we.

Build many pebble bed nuclear power plants and use electricity whenever possible FTW!

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Global Warming(tm) might be a problem. It’s unlikely that humans play a big part - more likely that the Sun is the prime mover. I’ll take the Goracle’s worshipers seriously just as soon as the models touted by the Warmists can accommodate the Medieval Warm Period and Maunder Minimum, or even recent weather.

I worry much more about Global Cooling, which would kill millions if not billions and probably mean the end of civilization. And the sunspot activity has been very low recently.

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Jim Allard: Proof that friends don’t let friends read Atlas Shrugged.

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I would be willing to provide you with some DDT if you want to eat it Jim.

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And you should try being a poor person in the jungle who can’t keep his hut free of malaria carrying mosquitoes thanks to the DDT ban.

The DDT ban has killed and destroyed the health of MILLIONS!

But the birds are OK and that’s what counts.

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Volunteers have ingested DDT daily for over two years to study its effects. They experienced no ill effects, even after 30 years time.

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haha why would anyone do that?

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FOR FREE!?

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Great article as usual Mr. Allard. I always enjoy reading them and look forward to them. I can’t stand most of the stuff written in the herald and thanks for continuing to go against the usual liberal flow here at the UW. Most refreshing!

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abortion will solve the climate crisis

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The REAL Greenies are hoping for famine or pestilence to kill billions, to you know, save Gaia or something.

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Yes, that’s exactly it.

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Martin Amis recommends “death booths” as a solution to the “population of demented very old people, like an invasion of terrible immigrants, stinking out the restaurants and cafes and shops.”

http://althouse.blogspot.com/2010/01/martin-amis-recommends-death-booths-as.html

or maybe?

“They just phoned me that your triplets have been born,” said Dr. Hitz. “They’re all fine, and so is the mother. I’m on my way in to see them now.”

“Hooray,” said Wehling emptily.

“You don’t sound very happy,” said Dr. Hitz.

“What man in my shoes wouldn’t be happy?” said Wehling. He gestured with his hands to symbolize care-free simplicity. “All I have to do is pick out which one of the triplets is going to live, then deliver my maternal grandfather to the Happy Hooligan, and come back here with a receipt.”

Dr. Hitz became rather severe with Wehling, towered over him. “You don’t believe in population control, Mr. Wehling?” he said.

“I think it’s perfectly keen,” said Wehling tautly.

“Would you like to go back to the good old days, when the population of the Earth was twenty billion�about to become forty billion, then eighty billion, then one hundred and sixty billion? Do you know what a drupelet is, Mr. Wehling?” said Hitz.

“Nope,” said Wehling sulkily.

“A drupelet, Mr. Wehling, is one of the little knobs, one of the little pulpy grains of a blackberry,” said Dr. Hitz. “Without population control, human beings would now be packed on this surface of this old planet like drupelets on a blackberry! Think of it!”

Wehling continued to stare at the same spot on the wall.

“In the year 2000,” said Dr. Hitz, “before scientists stepped in and laid down the law, there wasn’t even enough drinking water to go around, and nothing to eat but sea-weed�and still people insisted on their right to reproduce like jackrabbits. And their right, if possible, to live forever.”

“I want those kids,” said Wehling quietly. “I want all three of them.”

“Of course you do,” said Dr. Hitz. “That’s only human.”

“I don’t want my grandfather to die, either,” said Wehling.

“Nobody’s really happy about taking a close relative to the Catbox,” said Dr. Hitz gently, sympathetically.

“I wish people wouldn’t call it that,” said Leora Duncan.

“What?” said Dr. Hitz.

“I wish people wouldn’t call it ‘the Catbox,’ and things like that,” she said. “It gives people the wrong impression.”

“You’re absolutely right,” said Dr. Hitz. “Forgive me.” He corrected himself, gave the municipal gas chambers their official title, a title no one ever used in conversation. “I should have said, ‘Ethical Suicide Studios,’” he said.

“That sounds so much better,” said Leora Duncan.

“This child of yours�whichever one you decide to keep, Mr. Wehling,” said Dr. Hitz. “He or she is going to live on a happy, roomy, clean, rich planet, thanks to population control. In a garden like that mural there.” He shook his head. “Two centuries ago, when I was a young man, it was a hell that nobody thought could last another twenty years. Now centuries of peace and plenty stretch before us as far as the imagination cares to travel.”

He smiled luminously.

The smile faded as he saw that Wehling had just drawn a revolver.

Wehling shot Dr. Hitz dead. “There’s room for one�a great big one,” he said.

And then he shot Leora Duncan. “It’s only death,” he said to her as she fell. “There! Room for two.”

And then he shot himself, making room for all three of his children.

http://www.gutenberg.org/files/21279/21279-h/21279-h.htm

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for what it’s worth, Kurt Vonnegut was pretty pissed at how horribly we’ve treated the earth. He said something like “If humanity has a tombstone, it should read ‘we could have done something, but we were too damn lazy’.” He consistently complained not that we were destroying the world around us, but he bemoaned the fact that we KNEW we were destroying the earth and still failed to “do something”.

Jim Allard is not a very good scientist. Johns Hopkins School of Public Health has recently released studies which indicate that while the benefits of using DDT make a strong case for lifting the ban, there is no question that DDT is a carcinogen. Its true that Silent Spring was not accurate, and it is true that DDT can address malaria quite well. However to say that DDT has “never been shown to be harmful to humans” is blatantly false. Interesting, since the title of the article includes the word “misinformation.”

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Oh Jim, I’d thought you would have woken up to the facts by now. I Googled to see what you’d be saying these days about climate change issues. When I suggested you get a degree in Biology, it was so you could discover there was more than the binary black and white of your electical engineering degree. You have to realize that people don’t become environmentalists for money. Hating environmentalists is just your right wing family background and continued identity as a noble outsider in liberal Madison. The more people argue about this, the less time we have to work together on solutions. Hope you get with it before I check in next time!

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